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Sunday, October 29, 2006

PRISON BLOG 32


Leadership Book Changes

Those who followed the run up to last year’s election on this blog will recall the virtual reality book that was run on odds for the election date and then party results. The latter especially proved fairly accurate and notably the Labour-National head-to-head option even bested Centrebet and the other “real” bookmakers. The daily analysis, commentary and readers/punters participation made it a particular highlight of the year for me.

So with Dr. Brash’s oscillating fortunes to the forefront of public discourse it seems time to establish a betting (virtual of course) market. In other jurisdictions punters have real-time access to real bookies offering real odds with real money; in NZ the TAB has a monopoly on bookmaking and at any rate they would not enter this field fore both political and practical reasons (with sports they need authorization from a controlling body – would the Speaker of Parliament give approval? 10.000 – 1). So it falls on this blog to attempt to meaningfully quantify the clawing ambitions of our leaders in terms we all understand. It will be updated on a crisis-by-crisis basis.

Please leave your picks in the comments section.

OPTION 1: LEADER OF THE LABOUT PARTY AT NEXT ELECTION DAY

$1.06 - Clark
$8.00 - Mahary
$11.00 - Cullen
$25.00 - Goff
$2000000.00 - Field
$28.00 - All Others

OPTION 2: LEADER OF NATIONAL PARTY AT NEXT ELECTION DAY

$1.50 – Key
$2.15 – Brash
$6.00 – Power
$6.00 – English
$9.00 – Brownlee
$1000000.00 – Connell
$15.00 – All Others

Bets close day before next election day. Simulated only: not authorized by the TAB.

DON’T FORGET Tim’s Book and magazine collection for the Prison Library, please send your books and magazines to:
Tim Selwyn
Librarian/Unit 7
Hawkes Bay Prison
Private Bag 1600
Napier, NZ


Tim Selwyn (Editor of Tumeke!)
PRN 60477981
Hawkes Bay Prison
Currently appealing sedition conviction

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